# Common Monetary Area Regime Strain Index

Predicted CA/GDP deviation from union mean using Z deviation coefficients.

| Country | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 | 2040 | 2050 | 2060 |
|:---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|
| ZAF | +2.06 | +2.47 | +2.85 | +0.78 | -3.86 | -7.21 | -9.08 |
| NAM | +0.57 | +1.03 | -0.08 | -0.95 | -0.86 | -0.24 | +1.10 |
| SWZ | -0.71 | -0.30 | -0.39 | -0.36 | +0.93 | +1.92 | +2.30 |
| LSO | -1.92 | -3.20 | -2.38 | +0.53 | +3.79 | +5.53 | +5.68 |

*Coefficients from within-CMA Z deviation regression (N=170). Z projections from UN WPP.*